ACA.PA

Credit Agricole S.A.

Crédit Agricole S.A. provides retail and corporate banking, insurance, and investment banking products and services in France, Italy, rest of the European Union, rest of Europe, North America, Central and South America, Africa, the Middle East, the Asia Pacific, and Japan. It operates in five segme… Crédit Agricole S.A. provides retail and corporate banking, insurance, and investment banking products and services in France, Italy, rest of the European Union, rest of Europe, North America, Central and South America, Africa, the Middle East, the Asia Pacific, and Japan. It operates in five segments: Asset Gathering, Large Customers, Specialized Financial Services, French Retail Banking " LCL, and International Retail Banking. The company offers savings/retirement, death and disability/creditor/group, and property and casualty insurance products; asset management; investment solutions; banking products and services, savings, wealth management, payment, cash flow management, and online banking services; personal finance and mobility; and specialized financial services. It also provides investment banking, structured finance, international trade finance, commercial banking, capital market, and syndication services; leasing, factoring, and energy and territorial financing; and asset servicing solutions for investment products, as well as various asset classes, such as execution, clearing, forex, security lending, custody, depositary banking, fund administration, middle-office outsourcing, fund distribution, and issuer services. In addition, the company offers property services, including transactions, rental, rental management, condominium trustee, and renovation under the Square Habitat brand; property development and management; and low-carbon electricity production. The company serves individuals, SMEs, small businesses, corporates, farmers, financial institutions, local authorities, asset managers, insurance companies, institutional investors, pension and unlisted funds, banks, and brokers. Crédit Agricole S.A. was founded in 1894 and is headquartered in Montrouge, France. Crédit Agricole S.A. operates as a subsidiary of SAS Rue La Boetie.
Market price
EUR 15.88
Undervalued by 638.5%
Base value (Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)) is 638.5% above the market price · low confidence
5-year outlook: 14.5% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:55; FY2025, period ended 31 Dec 2025 from EODHD (downloaded 12 min ago). Next earnings: 04 Feb 2027 (in 90 days)
Verdict

Looks undervalued

PriceEUR 15.88
Fair value range79.54–192.23base 117.28
Estimate reliabilityMedium
5-year outlook14.5% / yr≈ EUR 31.25 in 5 yrs

Why: Banks and insurers earn their money on their balance sheet, so value follows book value and how much the company earns on it (return on equity).

Details and the full model are below.

Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) you selected on the company card, using 7.26% growth, 2.4% terminal growth and 9.6% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice. Low confidence: the modelled value is far from the market price, which usually means the model does not capture this company well (for example expected growth well above its history).

Assumptions: growth 7.26%, discount rate 9.60%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 7.3% (sector default 5.4%, own revenue history 15.5%, analyst revenue consensus 4.1%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 14.5% a year (Medium confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 4.1% a year; the growth assumption used is 7.3%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Banks and insurers earn their money on their balance sheet, so value follows book value and how much the company earns on it (return on equity).

Compare models
  • Recommended: Justified P/B (ROE) — EUR 24.80 (+56.2%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — EUR 33.23 (+109.3%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — EUR 117.94 (+642.7%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • FCFF (steady state) — EUR 98.82 (+522.3%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — EUR 63.39 (+299.2%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — EUR 117.28 (+638.5%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — EUR 149.70 (+842.7%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share EUR 79.54–192.23
Base scenario / share EUR 117.28
Margin of safety (share of value) Cheap even in the bear case
Bear EUR 79.5480.0%
Base EUR 117.2886.5%
Bull EUR 192.2391.7%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 78 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 2 of 5 years8 / 20
Growthrevenue +15.5% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet cash20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 11%10 / 20

Peers in Financials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
ACA.PA (this company) EUR 15.88 36.0% 6.8 0.7 6.9% 78
PSH.L Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. GBP 38.88 68.1% 3.7 0.6 1.3% 76
LRE.L Lancashire Holdings Limited GBP 6.89 45.5% 7.1 1.6 3.3% 76
PRU.L Prudential plc GBP 9.29 33.8% 8.1 1.6 1.9% 78
V Visa Inc. USD 422.59 33.3% 8.9 – 0.2% 100
AGS.BR ageas SA/NV EUR 77.60 32.5% 8.2 1.5 5.0% 76
SYF Synchrony Financial USD 74.07 29.9% 7.2 1.4 2.1% 100
NWG.L NatWest Group plc GBP 5.92 29.6% 8.3 1.3 4.9% 88
ACGL Arch Capital Group USD 110.57 28.9% 8.6 1.6 0.1% 100
Peer median 8.1 1.5

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: EUR 1.70 per share · yield 10.71% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)1.700
20251.100
20241.050
20231.050
20221.050
20210.800
Sector Financials
Exchange Euronext Paris
Currency EUR

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · EODHD annual statements · period ended 31 Dec 2025

RevenueEUR 112,320,000,000
EBITDAEUR 12,272,000,000
EBITEUR 10,929,000,000
Net incomeEUR 7,074,000,000
Free cash flowEUR 17,896,000,000
Capital expendituresEUR 1,117,000,000
DebtEUR 519,227,000,000
CashEUR 563,868,000,000
Working capitalEUR 324,595,000,000
Shares outstanding3,027,231,000
Reported dividends per shareEUR 1.0994