BKNG

Booking Holdings

Booking Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides online and traditional travel and restaurant reservations and related services in the United States, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company operates Booking.com, which offers online accommodation reservat… Booking Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides online and traditional travel and restaurant reservations and related services in the United States, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company operates Booking.com, which offers online accommodation reservations; and Priceline, which provides discount travel reservations services, as well as online accommodation, flight, rental car reservation services, vacation packages, cruises, activity, and affiliate programs. It also operates Agoda that offers online accommodation reservation, flight, ground transportation, and attractions. In addition, the company operates KAYAK, an online meta-search service that allows consumers to search and compare travel itineraries and prices; and OpenTable for booking online restaurant reservations, as well as reservation management services to restaurants. Further, it offers travel-related insurance products, payment facilitation, and restaurant management services to consumers, travel service providers, and restaurants; and advertising services. The company was formerly known as The Priceline Group Inc. and changed its name to Booking Holdings Inc. in February 2018. Booking Holdings Inc. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Norwalk, Connecticut.
Market price
USD 168.72
Within modeled range
Base value (DCF (trailing free cash flow)) is 40.6% above the market price
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:55; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 1 h ago). Last earnings: 03 Nov 2026
Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceUSD 168.72
Fair value range149.47–402.75base 237.26
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Earnings-based DCF is somewhat apart.

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Details and the full model are below.

DCF (trailing free cash flow)

Market price within modeled range

Showing the DCF (trailing free cash flow) you selected on the company card, using 12.72% growth, 3.1% terminal growth and 10.8% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 12.72%, discount rate 10.80%, terminal growth 3.10% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 12.7% (sector default 7.2%, own revenue history 25.2%, analyst revenue consensus 9.2%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 9.2% a year; the growth assumption used is 12.7%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — USD 237.26 (+40.6%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 127.64 (-24.3%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 237.26 (+40.6%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 157.93 (-6.4%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 164.75 (-2.4%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 234.66 (+39.1%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 373.83 (+121.6%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 149.47–402.75
Base scenario / share USD 237.26
Margin of safety (share of value) Margin of safety vs base case
Bear USD 149.47-12.9%
Base USD 237.2628.9%
Bull USD 402.7558.1%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 100 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +13.3% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 0.4x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 38%20 / 20

Peers in Consumer Discretionary

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
BKNG (this company) USD 168.72 28.9% 17.7 – 1.0% 100
KGF.L Kingfisher plc GBP 3.72 45.2% 27.0 1.1 3.3% 74
BWY.L Bellway p.l.c. GBP 23.01 43.6% 14.0 0.8 3.1% 70
INCH.L Inchcape plc GBP 6.41 37.3% 9.0 1.9 4.1% 80
ZAL.DE Zalando SE EUR 27.49 36.6% 108.5 2.6 – 80
DECK Deckers Brands USD 87.74 34.9% 11.2 5.1 – 100
LULU Lululemon Athletica USD 111.77 33.3% 8.9 2.6 – 100
EXPE Expedia Group USD 272.48 29.6% 15.8 20.2 0.7% 100
PETS.L Pets at Home Group Plc GBP 2.58 25.2% 18.8 1.2 2.9% 82
Peer median 14.9 2.3

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: USD 1.64 per share · yield 0.97% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)1.260
20251.536
20241.400
Sector Consumer Discretionary
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 12:23

RevenueUSD 28,126,000,000
EBITDAUSD 10,735,000,000
EBITUSD 10,101,000,000
Net incomeUSD 7,178,000,000
Free cash flowUSD 9,237,000,000
Capital expendituresUSD 324,000,000
DebtUSD 20,576,000,000
CashUSD 15,814,000,000
Working capitalUSD 2,221,000,000
Shares outstanding753,000,000
Reported dividends per shareUSD 1.7065