NWG.L

NatWest Group plc

About the company

NatWest Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services in the United Kingdom and internationally. It operates through the Retail Banking, Private Banking, and Commercial & Institutional segments. The Retail Banking segment offers a range of banking products and related financial services, such as current accounts, mortgages, personal unsecured lending, and personal deposits, as well as mobile and online banking services. Its Private Banking segment provides banking, lending, and wealth management products for high-net-worth individuals and their business interests. The Commercial & Institutional segment consists of customer businesses under business banking, commercial mid-market, and corporates and institutions; and offers banking operations services in the Channel Islands, Isle of Man, Gibraltar, and Luxembourg, as well as products and solutions for businesses comprising start-ups, corporates, and large institutions. The company was formerly known as The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc and changed its name to NatWest Group plc in July 2020. NatWest Group plc was founded in 1727 and is headquartered in Edinburgh, the United Kingdom.

Market price
GBP 5.87
Price below modeled range
Base value (EPS-based Gordon proxy) is 73.9% above the market price
Relative 5-year outlook: 15.4% per year · ranking aid, not a predicted return. Forecast details
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 20:27; FY2025, period ended 31 Dec 2025 from EODHD (downloaded 1 min ago). Last earnings: 30 Oct 2026
Model comparison

Price below modeled range

PriceGBP 5.87
Modeled value rangeGBP 7.91–11.85base 10.21
Estimate reliabilityMedium
Relative 5-year outlook15.4% / yrRanking aid, not a predicted return

Why: Banks and insurers earn their money on their balance sheet, so value follows book value and how much the company earns on it (return on equity).

The range depends on model assumptions and data; it is not a prediction or investment advice.

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EPS-based Gordon proxy

Market price below modeled range

Showing the EPS-based Gordon proxy you selected on the company card, using 11.71% growth, 2.4% terminal growth and 9.6% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 11.71%, discount rate 9.60%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 11.7% (sector default 5.4%, own revenue history 25.1%, analyst revenue consensus 8.2%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 15.4% a year (Medium confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 8.2% a year; the growth assumption used is 11.7%.

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Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Banks and insurers earn their money on their balance sheet, so value follows book value and how much the company earns on it (return on equity).

Compare models
  • Recommended: Justified P/B (ROE) — GBP 8.41 (+43.2%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — GBP 10.21 (+73.9%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • FCFF (steady state) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — GBP 16.34 (+178.3%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — GBP 33.56 (+471.7%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share GBP 7.91–11.85
Base scenario / share GBP 10.21
Margin of safety (share of value) Price below the bear case
Bear GBP 7.9125.8%
Base GBP 10.2142.5%
Bull GBP 11.8550.5%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

3 months price change: -16.07% · GBP 5.87 · Market data through 06 Nov 2026 ; dashed line is today’s model base value (GBP 10.21). The fair value is today’s estimate, not what the model said in the past.

Saved price history is current through 06 Nov 2026; last refreshed 06 Nov 2026 18:33 (2 hours, 39 minutes ago).

10 Aug 2026Range GBP 5.80 – 7.1306 Nov 2026

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 88 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 2 of 5 years8 / 20
Growthrevenue +25.1% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet cash20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 30%20 / 20

Peers in Financials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
NWG.L (this company) GBP 5.87 30.2% 8.2 1.3 5.0% 88
PSH.L Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. GBP 38.66 68.4% 3.7 0.6 1.3% 76
LRE.L Lancashire Holdings Limited GBP 6.86 45.8% 7.1 1.6 3.3% 76
ACA.PA Credit Agricole S.A. EUR 15.84 36.1% 6.8 0.7 6.9% 78
PRU.L Prudential plc GBP 9.23 34.4% 8.0 1.6 1.9% 78
V Visa Inc. USD 422.59 33.3% 8.9 – 0.2% 100
AGS.BR ageas SA/NV EUR 77.50 32.6% 8.1 1.5 5.0% 76
SYF Synchrony Financial USD 74.07 29.9% 7.2 1.4 2.1% 100
ACGL Arch Capital Group USD 110.57 28.9% 8.6 1.6 0.1% 100
Peer median 7.6 1.5

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: GBP 0.00 per share · yield 0.06% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)0.003
20250.003
20240.002
20230.002
20220.003
20210.001
Sector Financials
Exchange London Stock Exchange
Currency GBP

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · EODHD annual statements · period ended 31 Dec 2025

RevenueGBP 29,478,000,000
EBITDAGBP 8,862,000,000
EBITGBP 7,708,000,000
Net incomeGBP 5,831,000,000
Free cash flowGBP -17,347,000,000
Capital expendituresGBP 665,000,000
DebtGBP 71,826,000,000
CashGBP 98,233,000,000
Working capitalGBP -382,006,000,000
Shares outstanding8,126,000,000
Reported dividends per shareGBP 0.2924