VICI

Vici Properties

VICI Properties Inc. is a real estate investment trust that owns one of the largest portfolios of market-leading gaming, hospitality, wellness, entertainment and leisure destinations, including Caesars Palace Las Vegas, MGM Grand and the Venetian Resort Las Vegas. VICI Properties owns 103 experient… VICI Properties Inc. is a real estate investment trust that owns one of the largest portfolios of market-leading gaming, hospitality, wellness, entertainment and leisure destinations, including Caesars Palace Las Vegas, MGM Grand and the Venetian Resort Las Vegas. VICI Properties owns 103 experiential assets across a geographically diverse portfolio consisting of 63 gaming properties and 40 other experiential properties across the United States and Canada. The portfolio is comprised of approximately 130 million square feet and features approximately 66,000 hotel rooms and over 700 restaurants, bars, nightclubs and sports books. Its properties are occupied by industry-leading gaming, leisure and hospitality operators under long-term, triple-net lease agreements. VICI Properties has a growing array of real estate and financing partnerships with leading operators in other experiential sectors, including Cabot, Cain, Canyon Ranch, Chelsea Piers, Club Med, Great Wolf Resorts, Homefield, Kalahari Resorts and Lucky Strike Entertainment. VICI Properties also owns four championship golf courses and approximately 33 acres of undeveloped and underdeveloped land adjacent to the Las Vegas Strip. VICI Properties Inc. was established on July 05, 2016, and is based in New York, United States. VICI Properties Inc. was incorporated in Maryland.
Market price
USD 25.21
Within modeled range
Base value (Dividend discount model) is 6.7% above the market price
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 18:22; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 6 h ago). Last earnings: 28 Oct 2026
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Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceUSD 25.21
Fair value range20.51–38.71base 26.89
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Free-cash-flow DCF agrees.

Other models: USD 19.29–32.55 (median 21.53). The recommended value is in line with them.

Why: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Start with the price and fair value range, then review the data dates and assumptions below. Estimates are not predictions or investment advice.

Dividend discount model

Market price within modeled range

Uses reported dividends of USD 1.7611 per share from TTM through 30 Sep 2026, with 2.3% perpetual growth (base growth capped at the terminal rate) and 9% discount rates. The range varies growth and discount assumptions by 1 percentage point; it is illustrative, not a statistical confidence interval or investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 9.83%, discount rate 9%, terminal growth 2.30% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 9.8% (sector default 5.1%, own revenue history 27.6%, analyst revenue consensus 3.3%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 3.3% a year; the growth assumption used is 9.8%.

Adjust assumptions

Why this model: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Dividend discount model — USD 26.89 (+6.7%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 32.55 (+29.1%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 35.53 (+41.0%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Dividend discount model ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 21.53 (-14.6%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 19.29 (-23.5%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 35.11 (+39.3%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 40.68 (+61.4%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 20.51–38.71
Base scenario / share USD 26.89
Margin of safety (share of value) Margin of safety vs base case
Bear USD 20.51-22.9%
Base USD 26.896.2%
Bull USD 38.7134.9%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Market-implied expectations 1.9% dividend growth

At USD 25.21 the market implies perpetual dividend growth of about this rate (discount rate 9.0%).

Compare: the market implies 1.9% a year, this model assumes 2.3%. The model is more optimistic than the price, which is why it reads as undervalued.

Sensitivity: base value per share

How the Dividend discount model value changes with growth (rows) and discount rate (columns). Green cells are above the current price. Dividend growth cannot exceed the long-run rate, so duplicate capped scenarios are omitted.

These are assumption-based scenarios, not a confidence interval. Scroll horizontally to see all discount rates.

Growth \ Discount 7.0%8.0%9.0%10.0%11.0%
-1.7% 19.90 17.85 16.18 14.80 13.63
0.3% 26.36 22.94 20.30 18.21 16.51
2.3% 38.33 31.61 26.89 23.40 20.71

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

1 month price change: +11.35% · USD 25.21 · Market data through 05 Nov 2026 ; dashed line is today’s model base value (USD 26.89). The fair value is today’s estimate, not what the model said in the past.

Saved price history is current through 05 Nov 2026; last refreshed 06 Nov 2026 18:14 (44 minutes ago).

07 Oct 2026Range USD 22.64 – 25.2505 Nov 2026

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 80 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +12.4% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 5.4x EBITDA0 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 78%20 / 20

Peers in Real Estate

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
VICI (this company) USD 25.21 6.2% 11.8 1.0 7.0% 80
HST Host Hotels & Resorts USD 24.63 44.2% 16.4 2.6 3.9% 100
VMRK Vivmark Residential USD 65.25 34.2% 24.8 – 4.2% 80
ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities USD 45.17 23.7% – 0.5 7.8% 44
UTG.L Unite Group PLC GBP 4.93 -2.9% 24.8 0.5 6.4% 68
DLN.L Derwent London Plc GBP 19.44 -4.2% 13.5 0.6 4.2% 60
WDP.BR Warehouses De Pauw SA EUR 19.40 -5.9% 12.0 0.9 6.2% 80
DOC Healthpeak Properties USD 20.12 -7.6% 35.7 1.8 6.1% 76
LAND.L Land Securities Group Plc GBP 6.78 -14.4% 14.8 0.8 5.7% 68
Peer median 16.4 0.8

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: USD 1.81 per share · yield 7.18% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)1.360
20251.766
20241.696
20231.610
20221.500
20211.380
Sector Real Estate
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 12:42

RevenueUSD 4,155,600,000
EBITDAUSD 3,232,250,000
EBITUSD 3,228,446,000
Net incomeUSD 2,346,212,000
Free cash flowUSD 2,701,630,000
Capital expendituresUSD 7,447,000
DebtUSD 17,825,748,000
CashUSD 270,321,000
Working capitalUSD -377,074,000
Shares outstanding1,100,625,472
Reported dividends per shareUSD 1.7611