Forecast

Financial forecast

Project revenue, EBITDA, net income and free cash flow for the next 5 or 10 years. Growth starts at the same rate the valuation uses and fades to the long-run rate, with margins held at today's level. Bear and bull cases move growth by the company's own revenue volatility. It is a model of what the assumptions imply, not a prediction.

WEC Energy Group (WEC)

Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:57; TTM through 30 Sep 2026; TTM financials updated 06 Nov 2026 12:42.

Starts from TTM through 30 Sep 2026 financials in USD and a share price of USD 118.32. Growth begins at 4.4% a year (the valuation's blended assumption) and fades to 2.2% by year 10. Margins held at EBITDA 41.4%, net 17.5%, free cash flow -7.9% of revenue. Bear and bull move starting growth by 6.0 points and long-run growth by 1 point.

Free cash flow is negative today, so the projection keeps it negative. It does not model a turnaround.
Year 1 uses analyst consensus revenue growth (4.6%); year 2 is halfway back to the model's own path.
USD 100.40Model fair value (Normalised free-cash-flow DCF); range USD 52.91 to USD 192.27
-15%Fair value vs today's price
HighModel confidence
75%Share of the gap to fair value the price closes by year 5

Confidence: Earnings-based DCF agrees; trailing-twelve-month data; profit and cash flow steady for 3 years.

4.9%/yrModel-implied annual total return over 10 years, base case (price plus dividends). Raw model level; the screener shows a calibrated ranking instead
USD 14.31BRevenue in year 10 (base)
USD 2.51BNet income in year 10 (base)
-USD 1.12BFree cash flow in year 10 (base)
USD 5.15Dividend per share in year 10 (base)
USD 145.41Implied share price in year 10 (base), today USD 118.32
-2.9%Year-10 free cash flow per share vs today's price

Free cash flow over time

-USD 1.57B -USD 332.31M USD 904.93M USD 2.14B USD 3.38B FY2021 FY2023 FY2025 TTM through 30 Sep 2026 +1 +3 +5 +7 +9 +10
Solid: reported Dashed: base projection Shaded: bear to bull range
Free cash flow in year 10 by scenario
CaseStarting growthYear 10Annual growth
Bear -1.4% -USD 794.35M –
Base 4.6% -USD 1.12B –
Bull 10.6% -USD 1.57B –

Base case by year

YearGrowthRevenueEBITDANet incomeFree cash flowEPSFCF / shareDividend / shareBook / shareImplied price
TTM through 30 Sep 2026– USD 10.32BUSD 4.28BUSD 1.81B-USD 811.00M 5.51-2.473.7144.33118.32
Year 14.6% USD 10.80BUSD 4.47BUSD 1.89B-USD 848.31M 5.76-2.583.8846.20120.95
Year 24.4% USD 11.27BUSD 4.67BUSD 1.98B-USD 885.25M 6.01-2.694.0548.16123.29
Year 33.9% USD 11.71BUSD 4.85BUSD 2.05B-USD 919.53M 6.24-2.804.2150.19125.01
Year 43.6% USD 12.13BUSD 5.03BUSD 2.13B-USD 952.94M 6.47-2.904.3652.30126.39
Year 53.4% USD 12.54BUSD 5.20BUSD 2.20B-USD 985.29M 6.69-3.004.5154.47127.42
Year 63.2% USD 12.94BUSD 5.36BUSD 2.27B-USD 1.02B 6.90-3.094.6556.72131.44
Year 72.9% USD 13.32BUSD 5.52BUSD 2.34B-USD 1.05B 7.10-3.184.7959.03135.27
Year 82.7% USD 13.67BUSD 5.66BUSD 2.40B-USD 1.07B 7.29-3.274.9261.40138.90
Year 92.4% USD 14.01BUSD 5.80BUSD 2.46B-USD 1.10B 7.47-3.355.0463.84142.28
Year 102.2% USD 14.31BUSD 5.93BUSD 2.51B-USD 1.12B 7.63-3.425.1566.32145.41

EPS and free cash flow per share assume today's share count. Dividends assume today's payout ratio and book value grows with retained earnings. The implied share price follows the valuation models and is not a price target; override growth settings do not change the model fair value. Margins stay at today's level except where the notes say they drift toward their average, so it does not model margin expansion, buybacks, acquisitions or recessions. It is for information and education only and is not investment advice. See the methodology for how the growth rate is blended.