Project revenue, EBITDA, net income and free cash flow for the next 5 or 10 years. Growth starts at the same rate the valuation uses and fades to the long-run rate, with margins held at today's level. Bear and bull cases move growth by the company's own revenue volatility. It is a model of what the assumptions imply, not a prediction.
Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:57; TTM through 30 Sep 2026; TTM financials updated 06 Nov 2026 12:23.
Starts from TTM through 30 Sep 2026 financials in EUR and a share price of EUR 283.40. Growth begins at 6.9% a year (the valuation's blended assumption) and fades to 2.9% by year 10. Margins held at EBITDA 29.5%, net 6.0%, free cash flow 9.6% of revenue. Bear and bull move starting growth by 6.0 points and long-run growth by 1 point.
Confidence: Earnings-based DCF agrees; trailing-twelve-month data; profit and cash flow steady for 3 years.
| Case | Starting growth | Year 10 | Annual growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 4.0% | EUR 422.67M | 1.9% |
| Base | 10.0% | EUR 593.11M | 5.4% |
| Bull | 16.0% | EUR 821.36M | 8.9% |
| Year | Growth | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income | Free cash flow | EPS | FCF / share | Dividend / share | Book / share | Implied price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTM through 30 Sep 2026 | – | EUR 3.66B | EUR 1.08B | EUR 218.40M | EUR 351.70M | 3.16 | 5.09 | 0.74 | 42.48 | 283.40 |
| Year 1 | 10.0% | EUR 4.03B | EUR 1.19B | EUR 240.33M | EUR 387.01M | 3.48 | 5.60 | 0.81 | 45.14 | 269.72 |
| Year 2 | 8.2% | EUR 4.36B | EUR 1.29B | EUR 260.13M | EUR 418.90M | 3.77 | 6.07 | 0.88 | 48.03 | 246.34 |
| Year 3 | 6.0% | EUR 4.63B | EUR 1.36B | EUR 275.72M | EUR 444.01M | 3.99 | 6.43 | 0.93 | 51.09 | 212.78 |
| Year 4 | 5.6% | EUR 4.88B | EUR 1.44B | EUR 291.04M | EUR 468.67M | 4.21 | 6.79 | 0.99 | 54.31 | 173.58 |
| Year 5 | 5.1% | EUR 5.13B | EUR 1.51B | EUR 305.91M | EUR 492.62M | 4.43 | 7.13 | 1.04 | 57.71 | 128.82 |
| Year 6 | 4.7% | EUR 5.37B | EUR 1.58B | EUR 320.19M | EUR 515.62M | 4.64 | 7.47 | 1.08 | 61.26 | 134.83 |
| Year 7 | 4.2% | EUR 5.60B | EUR 1.65B | EUR 333.73M | EUR 537.42M | 4.83 | 7.78 | 1.13 | 64.96 | 140.53 |
| Year 8 | 3.8% | EUR 5.81B | EUR 1.71B | EUR 346.36M | EUR 557.75M | 5.02 | 8.08 | 1.17 | 68.80 | 145.85 |
| Year 9 | 3.3% | EUR 6.01B | EUR 1.77B | EUR 357.93M | EUR 576.40M | 5.18 | 8.35 | 1.21 | 72.78 | 150.73 |
| Year 10 | 2.9% | EUR 6.18B | EUR 1.82B | EUR 368.31M | EUR 593.11M | 5.33 | 8.59 | 1.25 | 76.86 | 155.10 |
EPS and free cash flow per share assume today's share count. Dividends assume today's payout ratio and book value grows with retained earnings. The implied share price follows the valuation models and is not a price target; override growth settings do not change the model fair value. Margins stay at today's level except where the notes say they drift toward their average, so it does not model margin expansion, buybacks, acquisitions or recessions. It is for information and education only and is not investment advice. See the methodology for how the growth rate is blended.