Forecast

Financial forecast

Project revenue, EBITDA, net income and free cash flow for the next 5 or 10 years. Growth starts at the same rate the valuation uses and fades to the long-run rate, with margins held at today's level. Bear and bull cases move growth by the company's own revenue volatility. It is a model of what the assumptions imply, not a prediction.

MPC Container Ships ASA (MPCC.OL)

Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:48; TTM through 30 Jun 2026; TTM financials updated 06 Nov 2026 08:18.

Starts from TTM through 30 Jun 2026 financials in NOK and a share price of NOK 24.09. Growth begins at 3.0% a year (capped from 7.9% because the latest annual revenue declined) and fades to 2.7% by year 10. Margins held at EBITDA 69.4%, net 42.9%, free cash flow 25.9% of revenue. Bear and bull move starting growth by 6.0 points and long-run growth by 1 point.

Starting growth was capped from 7.9% to 3.0% because the latest annual revenue declined.
Year 1 uses analyst consensus revenue growth (9.6%); year 2 is halfway back to the model's own path.
NOK 36.43Model fair value (Free-cash-flow DCF); range NOK 26.72 to NOK 53.70
51%Fair value vs today's price
HighModel confidence
75%Share of the gap to fair value the price closes by year 5

Confidence: Earnings-based DCF agrees; trailing-twelve-month data.

7.8%/yrModel-implied annual total return over 10 years, base case (price plus dividends). Raw model level; the screener shows a calibrated ranking instead
NOK 6.66BRevenue in year 10 (base)
NOK 2.86BNet income in year 10 (base)
NOK 1.73BFree cash flow in year 10 (base)
NOK 0.26Dividend per share in year 10 (base)
NOK 48.53Implied share price in year 10 (base), today NOK 24.09
16.2%Year-10 free cash flow per share vs today's price

Free cash flow over time

-NOK 781.86M NOK 196.28M NOK 1.17B NOK 2.15B NOK 3.13B FY2021 FY2023 FY2025 TTM through 30 Jun 2026 +1 +3 +5 +7 +9 +10
Solid: reported Dashed: base projection Shaded: bear to bull range
Free cash flow in year 10 by scenario
CaseStarting growthYear 10Annual growth
Bear 3.6% NOK 1.22B 0.3%
Base 9.6% NOK 1.73B 3.8%
Bull 15.6% NOK 2.41B 7.3%

Base case by year

YearGrowthRevenueEBITDANet incomeFree cash flowEPSFCF / shareDividend / shareBook / shareImplied price
TTM through 30 Jun 2026– NOK 4.57BNOK 3.18BNOK 1.96BNOK 1.19B 4.422.680.1821.1024.09
Year 19.6% NOK 5.02BNOK 3.48BNOK 2.15BNOK 1.30B 4.852.930.2025.7628.44
Year 26.3% NOK 5.33BNOK 3.70BNOK 2.29BNOK 1.38B 5.163.120.2130.7032.39
Year 32.9% NOK 5.49BNOK 3.81BNOK 2.35BNOK 1.42B 5.313.210.2235.7935.56
Year 42.9% NOK 5.65BNOK 3.92BNOK 2.42BNOK 1.47B 5.463.300.2241.0338.87
Year 52.9% NOK 5.81BNOK 4.03BNOK 2.49BNOK 1.51B 5.623.400.2346.4242.34
Year 62.8% NOK 5.97BNOK 4.15BNOK 2.56BNOK 1.55B 5.783.490.2451.9643.54
Year 72.8% NOK 6.14BNOK 4.26BNOK 2.63BNOK 1.59B 5.943.590.2457.6644.76
Year 82.8% NOK 6.31BNOK 4.38BNOK 2.71BNOK 1.64B 6.103.690.2563.5145.99
Year 92.7% NOK 6.48BNOK 4.50BNOK 2.78BNOK 1.68B 6.273.790.2669.5347.25
Year 102.7% NOK 6.66BNOK 4.62BNOK 2.86BNOK 1.73B 6.443.890.2675.7048.53

EPS and free cash flow per share assume today's share count. Dividends assume today's payout ratio and book value grows with retained earnings. The implied share price follows the valuation models and is not a price target; override growth settings do not change the model fair value. Margins stay at today's level except where the notes say they drift toward their average, so it does not model margin expansion, buybacks, acquisitions or recessions. It is for information and education only and is not investment advice. See the methodology for how the growth rate is blended.