Forecast

Financial forecast

Project revenue, EBITDA, net income and free cash flow for the next 5 or 10 years. Growth starts at the same rate the valuation uses and fades to the long-run rate, with margins held at today's level. Bear and bull cases move growth by the company's own revenue volatility. It is a model of what the assumptions imply, not a prediction.

Everest Group (EG)

Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:56; TTM through 30 Sep 2026; TTM financials updated 05 Nov 2026 18:41.

Starts from TTM through 30 Sep 2026 financials in USD and a share price of USD 417.79. Growth begins at 2.1% a year (the valuation's blended assumption) and fades to 2.4% by year 10. Margins held at EBITDA 16.3%, net 11.7%, free cash flow 7.9% of revenue. Bear and bull move starting growth by 6.0 points and long-run growth by 1 point.

For banks, insurers and holding companies, revenue and cash flow mix in interest and investment flows. Read net income rather than free cash flow.
Year 1 uses analyst consensus revenue growth (-4.9%); year 2 is halfway back to the model's own path.
USD 564.69Model fair value (Justified P/B (ROE)); range USD 485.62 to USD 701.37
35%Fair value vs today's price
HighModel confidence
75%Share of the gap to fair value the price closes by year 5

Confidence: Earnings-based DCF agrees; trailing-twelve-month data; profit and cash flow steady for 3 years.

11.2%/yrModel-implied annual total return over 10 years, base case (price plus dividends). Raw model level; the screener shows a calibrated ranking instead
USD 18.17BRevenue in year 10 (base)
USD 2.13BNet income in year 10 (base)
USD 1.43BFree cash flow in year 10 (base)
USD 9.42Dividend per share in year 10 (base)
USD 1,123.21Implied share price in year 10 (base), today USD 417.79
9.1%Year-10 free cash flow per share vs today's price

Book value per share over time

USD 0.00 USD 231.28 USD 462.56 USD 693.84 USD 925.12 TTM through 30 Sep 2026 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10
Solid: reported Dashed: base projection Shaded: bear to bull range
Book value per share in year 10 by scenario
CaseStarting growthYear 10Annual growth
Bear -10.9% USD 712.23 6.5%
Base -4.9% USD 806.33 7.8%
Bull 1.1% USD 925.12 9.3%

Base case by year

YearGrowthRevenueEBITDANet incomeFree cash flowEPSFCF / shareDividend / shareBook / shareImplied price
TTM through 30 Sep 2026– USD 16.16BUSD 2.64BUSD 1.89BUSD 1.28B 50.2933.948.38379.02417.79
Year 1-4.9% USD 15.37BUSD 2.51BUSD 1.80BUSD 1.21B 47.8332.287.97418.88486.09
Year 2-1.4% USD 15.16BUSD 2.48BUSD 1.77BUSD 1.20B 47.1831.837.86458.20558.35
Year 32.2% USD 15.49BUSD 2.53BUSD 1.81BUSD 1.22B 48.2032.538.03498.37636.28
Year 42.2% USD 15.83BUSD 2.59BUSD 1.85BUSD 1.25B 49.2733.248.21539.43720.06
Year 52.2% USD 16.19BUSD 2.65BUSD 1.89BUSD 1.28B 50.3733.998.39581.41809.90
Year 62.3% USD 16.56BUSD 2.71BUSD 1.94BUSD 1.31B 51.5134.768.58624.34869.70
Year 72.3% USD 16.94BUSD 2.77BUSD 1.98BUSD 1.34B 52.7035.568.78668.26930.88
Year 82.3% USD 17.33BUSD 2.83BUSD 2.03BUSD 1.37B 53.9336.398.98713.21993.49
Year 92.4% USD 17.74BUSD 2.90BUSD 2.08BUSD 1.40B 55.2137.259.20759.221,057.58
Year 102.4% USD 18.17BUSD 2.97BUSD 2.13BUSD 1.43B 56.5338.159.42806.331,123.21

EPS and free cash flow per share assume today's share count. Dividends assume today's payout ratio and book value grows with retained earnings. The implied share price follows the valuation models and is not a price target; override growth settings do not change the model fair value. Margins stay at today's level except where the notes say they drift toward their average, so it does not model margin expansion, buybacks, acquisitions or recessions. It is for information and education only and is not investment advice. See the methodology for how the growth rate is blended.