SWEC-B.ST

Sweco AB

Sweco AB (publ) provides architecture and engineering consultancy services worldwide. The company operates through Buildings and Urban Areas; Water, Energy, and Industry; Transportation Infrastructure; and Architecture segments. It provides energy analysis and environmental certification, fire safe… Sweco AB (publ) provides architecture and engineering consultancy services worldwide. The company operates through Buildings and Urban Areas; Water, Energy, and Industry; Transportation Infrastructure; and Architecture segments. It provides energy analysis and environmental certification, fire safety engineering and risk analysis, and HVAC and sanitation, as well as design of electrical, telecom, and security systems; building construction and industrial structures design, and construction economics, as well as steel, timber, and glass structures design; statistics and forecasts, analysis and strategy, studies, and planning and design; project and design management, property development and management, and site supervision; and systems development and big data, data coordination and BIM, 3D visualization and geographical analyses, and strategy and operational support services, as well as Twinfinity, a BIM platform. The company offers energy production studies, transmission and distribution planning, and energy market analysis and optimization advice; water and wastewater engineering, water resource planning, urban water management, and design of flood protection structures; waste management planning and advice, environmental studies and impact assessments, and chemical substances and associated legislation; and process engineering, plant design, and logistics planning services. It provides road and land use planning, rock excavation design and geotechnical engineering, bridge design, port master planning, and surveying; tracks, electricity, signaling, telecoms, and operation and maintenance; and capacity, accessibility, and strategic planning services, as well as intelligent transportation systems. The company also offers urban planning; landscape, building, and interior architecture; and cultural heritage and lighting design services. The company was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Market price
SEK 143.00
Overvalued by 35.3%
Base value (EPS-based Gordon proxy) is 35.3% below the market price
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:57; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 10 min ago). Last earnings: 29 Oct 2026
Verdict

Looks overvalued

PriceSEK 143.00
Fair value range71.93–107.22base 92.53
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Earnings-based DCF is somewhat apart.

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Details and the full model are below.

EPS-based Gordon proxy

Market price above modeled range

Showing the EPS-based Gordon proxy you selected on the company card, using 7.39% growth, 2.7% terminal growth and 10% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 7.39%, discount rate 10%, terminal growth 2.70% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 7.4% (sector default 6.2%, own revenue history 9.1%, analyst revenue consensus 7.1%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 7.1% a year; the growth assumption used is 7.4%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — SEK 138.93 (-2.8%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — SEK 92.53 (-35.3%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — SEK 138.93 (-2.8%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — SEK 110.74 (-22.6%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — SEK 145.92 (+2.0%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — SEK 137.93 (-3.5%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — SEK 390.92 (+173.4%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share SEK 71.93–107.22
Base scenario / share SEK 92.53
Margin of safety (share of value) Above the bull case
Bear SEK 71.93-98.8%
Base SEK 92.53-54.5%
Bull SEK 107.22-33.4%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 90 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +8.0% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 1.4x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 15%10 / 20

Peers in Industrials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
SWEC-B.ST (this company) SEK 143.00 -2.9% 21.7 3.8 2.3% 90
EZJ.L easyJet plc GBP 6.88 74.3% 10.6 1.5 1.7% 78
WAWI.OL Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA NOK 160.80 64.7% 7.1 2.2 0.3% 100
IAG.L International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. GBP 4.37 58.9% 8.0 3.5 1.8% 92
TPK.L Travis Perkins plc GBP 6.54 54.7% – 0.8 2.1% 46
SRP.L Serco Group plc GBP 2.77 46.2% 19.7 3.3 1.5% 82
DFDS.CO DFDS A/S DKK 157.30 45.9% – 0.6 – 64
DG.PA VINCI SA EUR 111.75 42.2% 12.9 2.1 4.2% 90
HAFNI.OL Hafnia Limited NOK 89.00 40.8% 7.2 1.8 1.2% 100
Peer median 9.3 1.9

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: SEK 3.70 per share · yield 2.59% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)3.700
20253.300
20242.950
20232.700
20222.450
20212.200
Sector Industrials
Exchange Nasdaq Stockholm
Currency SEK

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 13:38

RevenueSEK 33,055,000,000
EBITDASEK 4,956,000,000
EBITSEK 3,375,000,000
Net incomeSEK 2,376,000,000
Free cash flowSEK 3,324,000,000
Capital expendituresSEK 454,000,000
DebtSEK 7,394,000,000
CashSEK 634,000,000
Working capitalSEK 1,805,000,000
Shares outstanding361,240,754